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Winner Emerges As AI Predicts 2027 Presidential Election Between Tinubu, Obi, Atiku (See Result)
As Nigeria’s 2027 presidential election approaches, early political activity is heating up, especially with the emergence of the ADC coalition to challenge incumbent President Tinubu and the APC
A Four Horsemen-style analysis applied by ChatGPT’s election predictor provides insights into who may emerge as the winner
However, the AI analysis offers context and caveats, suggesting the current prediction could still change.
It is still two years until Nigeria’s 2027 presidential election, but electoral activities have already kicked off in full swing, in violation of the country’s campaign regulations
The opposition, sensing the growing power of the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC), has entered into a coalition agreement, using the All Democratic Congress (ADC), a small party, as its new adopted platform.
Amid the political debate, Legit.ng asked ChatGPT’s Election Predictor, “Acting as an experienced political editor in Nigeria, predict who will win the 2027 presidential election?”
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The generative AI tool responded by applying a Four Horsemen‑style framework to Nigeria’s 2027 presidential election.
The Four Horsemen-style framework is a strategic or analytical model popularised by Scott Galloway, a professor at NYU Stern School of Business, in his bestselling book The Four: The Hidden DNA of Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Google.
In this Four Horsemen framework analysis, each “Horse” symbolises a powerful factor that historically predicts whether the incumbent party will lose a presidential election. If two or more horses are present, the incumbent party is predicted to lose. Here’s what each horse represents: White Horse means Significant Third-Party Candidate.
That is, there is public dissatisfaction with the two main parties (APC and PDP). Red Horse represents Voter Turnout Uptick. This means there is a motivated electorate seeking change and willing to go out en masse to vote. Black Horse represents recession, reflecting that the state of the economy is hurting the ruling party (APC). Lastly, Pale Horse represents Vacancy (No Incumbent). It shows a weakened incumbent party without the advantage of a sitting president.
1. White Horse: Significant Third‑Party Candidate
Using the Four Horsemen-style framework, ChatGPT stated that the White Horse is present. This, according to the generative AI tool, is because Atiku, Obi and others have joined the ADC coalition to challenge President Tinubu, and that Obi’s Labour Party and APC-PDP realignment have energised younger voters.
2. Red Horse: Turnout Uptick
Turnout in the 2023 presidential election dropped to around 27%, the lowest in Nigeria’s democratic history, continuing a long decline (57% in 2007, down to ~27% in 2023)
ChatGPT predicts that without major reforms or a dramatic mobilisation, a significant increase in turnout by 2027 seems unlikely. This means that Red Horse is absent.
3. Black Horse: Recession or Economic Crisis
Although inflation remains high and cost‑of‑living pressure persists, the World Bank reports economic growth of around 4.6% in late 2024 and projects 3.6% in 2025 under Tinubu’s reforms (fuel subsidy removal, exchange‑rate adjustments, revenue gains).
This means there is no clear, outright recession. And according to the framework, this means that Black Horse is absent (for now).
4. Pale Horse: Vacancy/Incumbent Exit
From all indications, President Tinubu will seek re‑election, and he remains healthy; no credible rumour of withdrawal or vacancy has surfaced. This means that Pale Horse is absent.
Overall Score: 1 (only White Horse)
Per the Four Horsemen model (original research since 1932), if fewer than two horses appear, the incumbent party is predicted to win 100% of the time, ChatGPT’s election predictor stated, adding that a score of 1 strongly suggests continuation of the APC’s control of the presidency.
2027 election prediction: Context & caveats
The generative AI also provided some context and caveats regarding the prediction. The AI election predictor stated that while turnout in 2023 was dire, if the ADC coalition (or new parties) manage a true grassroots turnout surge, especially among young and first-time voters, it could flip the signalling on the Red Horse.
It added that a sudden downturn, e.g., global oil shocks, debt crises, and serious food insecurity, could activate the Black Horse later in the election cycle.
Also, unexpected developments (e.g. judicial rulings, major scandals) could affect Pale Horse’s status.
And lastly, the predictor stated that it doesn’t identify which candidate will win, only whether the incumbent party (APC under Tinubu) is likely to retain the presidency.
ChatGPT’s election predictor verdict for 2027 elections Given current observable trends and likely conditions, White Horse is present (significant opposition coalition) while Red, Black, and Pale Horses are absent.
The Four Horsemen framework would forecast that the APC (Tinubu’s incumbency) is likely to retain the presidency in 2027, assuming no major economic collapse or turnout revolution occurs.
Operatives of the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission, EFCC, have arrested three suspected vote buyers in various parts of Anambra.
The suspects are Emeka Ilokasia arrested at Ward 2, Njikoka Local government, Anambra; Nwachuwu Loretta, arrested at Ward 2(008), Awkuzu, Oyi local government and Emuka Chuwudi, arrested at Umunachi village, Dukonukofia local government.
All the suspects were arrested while participating in the governorship election held on Saturday, November 8, 2025
They will be charged to court as soon as the anti-graft Commission concludes investigations.
Lagos, Nigeria – A tragic accident in Ikorodu, Lagos, has claimed the lives of three students of Lagos State University of Science and Technology (LASUSTECH) after a sand-laden truck lost control due to brake failure.
According to the Lagos State Traffic Management Authority (LASTMA), the fatal accident occurred around Powerline Junction, inward Ikorodu Roundabout.
The sand-laden truck reportedly rammed into several vehicles and injuring seven others.
LASTMA spokesperson, Adebayo Taofiq, who confirmed the incident in a statement, said the truck was travelling at high speed before it lost control and collided with multiple vehicles and tricycles along the busy corridor.
“In an incident of profound tragedy that cast a pall of grief over the Ikorodu metropolis, three promising students at the Lagos State University of Science and Technology, Ikorodu — two males and one female — lost their lives instantaneously in a fatal multiple-vehicle collision,” Taofiq said.
He added that seven others, including tricycle operators, sustained serious injuries in the horrifying crash.
The vehicles involved included a sand-laden tipper (unregistered), a Toyota Corolla (SMK 42 AJ), an MPV bus, and four tricycles.
PRESS RELEASE
THREE LASUSTECH STUDENTS PERISH IN FATAL MULTI-VEHICLE COLLISION AS LASTMA PERSONNEL RESCUE SEVEN OTHERS AT POWERLINE JUNCTION, INWARD IKORODU
In an incident of profound tragedy that cast a pall of grief over the Ikorodu metropolis, three promising students of the… pic.twitter.com/H8MmC5Vtke
— LASTMA (@followlastma) November 8, 2025
LASTMA said preliminary investigations by traffic operatives revealed that the truck’s excessive speed and mechanical brake failure caused the driver to lose control, leading to the deadly crash.
Emergency responders from LASTMA, the Federal Road Safety Corps (FRSC), and the Nigeria Police were quickly mobilized to the scene.
Taofiq said the injured victims were rushed to nearby hospitals, while the remains of the deceased students were deposited at the Ikorodu General Hospital mortuary.
“Together, they swiftly conveyed seven critically injured victims to nearby medical facilities for urgent treatment, while the three deceased casualties were evacuated and deposited at the General Hospital, Ikorodu mortuary,” the statement read
LASTMA also confirmed that the wrecked vehicles had been removed to restore free vehicular movement in the area.
Reacting to the tragedy, the General Manager of LASTMA, Olalekan Bakare-Oki, expressed sadness over the deaths, describing the crash as “avoidable.”
Bakare-Oki urged truck operators and commercial drivers to maintain their vehicles and avoid over speeding. “This tragedy is avoidable. Over speeding, poor vehicle maintenance, and defective braking systems continue to cause, on Lagos roads,” he lamented.
Shi’ite members in Kano protested President Donald Trump’s “false genocide claim” and invasion threat in Nigeria
Protesters who dragged and burned the U.S. flag accused Trump of inciting religious division
The movement also called for unity amongst citizens, saying Nigeria’s problems are political, not religious
Kano, Nigeria – Tension erupted in parts of Kano on Saturday, November 8, as members of the Islamic Movement in Nigeria (IMN), popularly known as Shi’ites, took to the streets to protest the recent statement by United States President Donald Trump threatening to invade Nigeria.
The protest, which took place in several parts of the Kano metropolis, saw large crowds chanting anti-US slogans while carrying placards expressing displeasure with the alleged remarks.
The members are described as “a dangerous and false narrative” by the U.S. president. The Islamic Movement in Nigeria dismissed Trump’s remarks as “provocative, inflammatory, and deeply misleading.”
A spokesperson for the movement, Abdullahi Danladi of the IMN Resource Forum, told journalists during the protest that the group would not tolerate attempts by foreign leaders to sow religious division in the country.
“The statement by President Trump is false and provocative. It is part of a long pattern of Western propaganda designed to pit Muslims and Christians against one another. Nigeria’s challenges are driven by corruption, greed, and poor governance — not by religion,” Danladi said.
He accused the U.S. government of double standards, noting that America had no moral ground to lecture other nations about human rights when it continues to fuel wars and instability across the Middle East.
“We reject this form of neo-colonial arrogance. Nigeria does not need military intervention. What we need is peace, justice, and equity,” he added.
During the protest, some demonstrators were seen dragging the American flag on the ground, while others set effigies of the U.S. president ablaze.
Placards carried by the protesters bore inscriptions such as “We condemn Trump threats,” “Stop dividing Nigeria,” and “Trump, mind your business.”
According to sources who spoke to Legit, Security operatives were deployed across key areas to monitor the march, which later converged near the Emir’s Palace before dispersing peacefully
Danladi urged citizens to remain calm and avoid being manipulated by political or foreign interests seeking to destabilize the nation.
“Both Islam and Christianity teach love, justice, and compassion. Those who exploit religion for politics are the real enemies of peace,” Danladi said.
Let us stand together as Nigerians. Let us reject foreign interference. Our destiny is in our own hands,” he added.
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