Politics
How Tinubu Is Plotting to Trap Peter Obi, Atiku in 2027, Analysts Reveal
As Nigeria approaches its upcoming presidential election, the political atmosphere is becoming increasingly charged, especially for incumbent President Bola Ahmed Tinubu.
This election represents a significant opportunity for meaningful dialogue and debate. The African Democratic Congress (ADC) coalition, led by Atiku Abubakar, is stepping forward to challenge Tinubu’s presidency, which could enhance the democratic process.
A coalition of civil society groups has warned that the opposition risks handing President Bola Tinubu an easy second term in 2027 unless former Vice President Atiku Abubakar and Labour Party presidential candidate Peter Obi join forces.
The groups warn that the APC has set up obstacles that make it nearly impossible for either opposition figure to win if they run separately
Coalition research shows only a joint ticket can overcome what it describes as strategic barriers to a free and fair presidential contest
The coalition issued the warning after a strategy meeting in Abuja that brought together members of the Save Democracy Mega Alliance (SDMA), the Civil Societies Alliance and other groups.
Speaking after the gathering, South South Coordinator of SDMA Tony Akeni said the coalition’s research shows that a divided opposition cannot defeat the All Progressives Congress’ Tinubu in the next presidential election.
He said their study revealed “insurmountable obstacles” already being put in place by the ruling party to prevent a fair contest.
“If the right decisions are taken by stakeholders of our opposition political parties and electorates, we shall achieve the urgent objective of emancipating our country through the ballot in 2027,” Akeni said. “If, however, leaders of the progressive opposition missed presidential victory in 2027 through wrong decisions, the consequences shall be dire for our nation in countless ways.”
Akeni described Atiku Abubakar, now a member of the African Democratic Congress, and Peter Obi of the Labour Party as the most credible figures to challenge the ruling party
“Fortunately, today Nigeria is blessed with two outstanding political opposition figures, each one eminently qualified to preside over our country as President and recover our nation to the path of greatness from 2027 forward,” he said.
He warned that intelligence gathered over several months shows that the APC has already structured the political environment to frustrate any attempt by either Atiku or Obi to win if they contest separately.
“The second truth is that the ruling APC has strategically, scientifically put in place practically insurmountable obstacles designed to prevent free and fair elections through which either Atiku, contesting in a separate party ballot, or Peter Obi, contesting in another political party, should ever hope to emerge victorious in the 2027 Presidential election,” he said.
According to the coalition, the only way to overcome these barriers is for Atiku and Obi to close ranks and present a single presidential ticket.
Akeni said the administration’s alleged tactics will only succeed if both men “make the fatal, historically regrettable and irredeemable mistake of contesting the 2027 presidential election on the platforms of two separate or competing political parties.”
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Ondo Governor Lucky Aiyedatiwa has been stopped from contesting the 2028 governorship election in the state The Federal High Court in Akure, the state capital, gave the ruling on Thursday, March 12, citing the Supreme Court judgment that presidents and governors can spend more than eight years in office Thus, the governor, who has been sworn in twice, would be spending more than eight years should he win the 2028 governorship election
The Federal High Court sitting in Akure, the Ondo state capital, has ruled that Governor Lucky Aiyedatiwa of Ondo state did not have the legal right to contest the 2028 governorship election in the state.
According to the trial court, electing the governor would be a violation of the constitutional limit of eight years in office. Justice Adegoke delivered the judgment that Aiyedatiwa cannot seek re-election in 2028 on Thursday, March 12.
Recall that Aiyedatiwa first assumed office on December 27, 2023, after the death of former Governor Rotimi Akeredolu. He was again sworn in on February 24, 2025, after he was declared the winner of the November 16, 2024, governorship election in the state.
According to The Tribune, the court held that the 1999 Constitution (as amended) does not allow a president or governor to stay in office for over eight years, citing the decision of the Supreme Court in Marwa v. Nyako to support its claim. A member of the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC), Akin Egbuwalo, through his lawyer, Adeniyi Akintola (SAN), sought the interpretation of Section 137(3) of the 1999 Constitution, as it relates to the tenure of the governor.
Reacting to the court ruling in an interview on Channels TV, the governor explained that he did not see it coming, citing that he was only in office to govern and was not even thinking of re-election for now. He added that he will only contest if the people want him to continue and the constitution permits it.
His comment has started generating reactions from Nigerians. Below are some of their comments:
Safety Cabal
“The Governor is more interested in future opportunities to contest; he has not justified the essence of his being elected. I pity the people of Ondo State.”
Okilori criticised the governor:
“Ondo state is so unfortunate to have this man as Governor. Despite all support masses gave him during Aketi situation and sickness.”
Taiwo alleged that the governor did not have any capital project to point to:
“Baba won do another term by fire by force, the man no get anything to offer the state, no better capital project , 3 more years to go.”
Onyeka Clinton urged the media house to fix the transmission problem:
“Does this station know that its clips blink? Please, they should work on it so that it will be easy for us to watch online post. Sometimes I wonder if they don’t notice it.”
Court Ruling On Re-election: I Never Saw It Coming; I Have To Hire Lawyers To Defend Me; We'll Face It, says Lucky Aiyedatiwa, Ondo State Governor. #PoliticsToday pic.twitter.com/QkRREAcvcy
— Channels Television (@channelstv) March 12, 2026
Senator Ipalibo Banigo has officially dumped the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) to the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC).
Banigo’s defection letter was read on the floor of the Senate on Tuesday, March 10, 2026, by Senate President Godswill Akpabio.
As reported by The Punch, the federal lawmaker said her decision to join APC is to advance development in Rivers State and President Bola Tinubu’s administration.
Banigo, representing Rivers West Senatorial District, said her decision is intended to align politically with Rivers State Governor Siminalayi Fubara.
“The decision follows extensive consultations with my constituents, my political associates, and critical stakeholders across my senatorial district, given the prevailing internal divisions, protracted leadership disputes, and ongoing litigations within the People’s Democratic Party, which have adversely affected cohesion.
“This decision is also predicated on my resolve to join my political mentor, the Minister of the Federal Capital Territory, Nyesom Wike, and the Governor of Rivers State, Siminalayi Fubara, in supporting President Bola Tinubu, to actualize his re-election bids and enable the President to continue his evident economic reforms, which have significantly improved the economic situation, enhanced currency stability, and driven numerous infrastructural developments across our dear nation.”
Zamfara state deputy governor, Mani Malam Mummuni, has announced the defection of the state’s leadership from the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) to the All Progressives Congress (APC).
The news means President Bola Ahmed Tinubu has further consolidated his political grip across Nigeria following the defection of the Zamfara state government to the APC.
In a video that has gone viral, the announcement was made by Zamfara Deputy Governor Mani Malam Mummuni on behalf of Governor Dauda Lawal, confirming that the state leadership had formally aligned with the ruling party.
The move widens Tinubu’s influence at the subnational level, with the APC now governing more than 30 of Nigeria’s 36 states. The development reinforces the party’s dominance as 2027 general elections draw near.
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Ipearl
September 23, 2025 at 7:28 pm
..see, no matter the junk press manipulation of information, Jagaban will win..what some of you neophyte don’t realise is that not often do sum of two candidates add in the final event, where support numbers scramble and reset in various dimension shared by the mergers and the incumbent target..how about that for thought?..