Business
Year-End Festivities Push Monthly Inflation To 4-Month High
Food price increases, driven by year-end festivities demand and insecurity challenges, emerged as the major driver of inflationary pressure in November 2025, pushing the month-on-month (MoM) headline inflation rate to 1.22 per cent, its highest level in four months, with analysts projecting a similar trend in December.
Similarly, the month-on-month (MoM) food inflation rate rose to 1.13 per cent, the highest in three months, driven by an increase in the average prices of some food items.
However, the Headline inflation rate declined for the eight consecutive month, to 14.45 per cent from 16.05 per cent in October.
The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) disclosed this in its latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) report.
CPI rises, MoM inflation accelerates
The NBS said: “The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose to 130.5 in November 2025, reflecting a 1.6-point increase from the preceding month (128.9). In November 2025, the Headline inflation rate eased to 14.45% relative to the October 2025 headline inflation rate of 16.05%. Looking at the movement, the November 2025 Headline inflation rate showed a decrease of 1.6% compared to the October 2025 Headline inflation rate.
“On a year-on-year basis, the Headline inflation rate was 20.15% lower than the rate recorded in November 2024 (34.60%). This shows that the Headline inflation rate (year-on-year basis) decreased in November 2025 compared to the same month in the preceding year (i.e., November 2024), though with a different base year, November 2009 = 100.
“On a month-on-month basis, the Headline inflation rate in November 2025 was 1.22%, which was 0.29% higher than the rate recorded in October 2025 (0.93%). This means that in November 2025, the rate of increase in the average price level was higher than the rate of increase in the average price level in October 2025.
“he percentage change in the average CPI for the twelve months ending November 2025 over the average for the previous twelve-month period was 20.41%, showing a 12.36% decrease compared to 32.77% recorded in November 2024.
Food inflation surges month-on-month
“The Food inflation rate in November 2025 was 11.08% on a year-on-year basis. This was 28.85% points lower compared to the rate recorded in November 2024 (39.93%). The significant decline in the annual food inflation figure is technically due to the change in the base year.
“On a month-on-month basis, the Food inflation rate in November 2025 was 1.13%, up by 1.5% compared to October 2025 (-0.37%). The increase can be attributed to the rate of increase in the average prices of Tomatoes (Dried), Cassava Tu ber, Periwinkle (Shelled), Grounded Pepper, Eggs, Crayfish, Melon (Egusi) Unshelled, Oxtail, Onions (Fresh), etc.”
Business
After Dangote, Another World Class Refinery to Be Built in Nigeria, CEO Confirms Location
Clarivo Oil and Gas, led by Chief Obidike Chukwuebuka, has announced plans to build a world-class oil refinery in Calabar, Cross River State, aimed at boosting Nigeria’s downstream oil and gas sector.
Speaking to journalists, Chief Obidike said the project will be implemented in phases, in collaboration with foreign partners to bring advanced technical expertise and international industry standards.
The planned refinery will feature state-of-the-art technologies, including crude distillation, catalytic cracking, and hydrotreating units, enabling the production of high-quality petroleum products such as petrol, diesel, and aviation fuel.
The phased approach will begin with feasibility studies and front-end engineering design, followed by construction of core processing units, and conclude with installation of secondary units and commissioning.
Chief Obidike noted that the refinery aims to increase domestic refining capacity, reduce dependence on imported petroleum products, and enhance Nigeria’s energy security. He added that the project is expected to create significant employment across engineering, construction, operations, and logistics, while facilitating technology transfer through partnerships with international EPC contractors and investors.
On funding, he revealed that agreements with foreign stakeholders are being finalized to provide both technical and financial support. The refinery is projected to come online within five years, following the completion of all project phases and regulatory approvals.
Business
CBN Releases New Exchange Rate As Dollar Crashes Against Naira; Details Emerge
The Nigerian naira strengthened against the US dollar at the official foreign exchange window on Tuesday, supported by strong dollar supply and muted international payment demands, according to a daily FX update from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).
At the Nigerian Foreign Exchange Market (NFEM), the naira appreciated by 7 basis points, or 94 kobo, to close at N1,419.35 per dollar.
Trading data showed the currency exchanged within a narrow band of N1,421 to N1,418.40, reflecting steady liquidity conditions.
Market operators said the appreciation was driven largely by improved dollar supply from non-bank corporates, exporters, and foreign portfolio investors, which outpaced FX requests submitted for foreign payments during the session.
The naira’s modest gain coincided with renewed weakness in the US dollar on the global forex market, triggered by escalating geopolitical tensions involving President Donald Trump’s renewed push to take control of Greenland.
The greenback came under pressure after Trump said there was “no going back” on his Greenland campaign, a stance that has strained relations between the United States and its European allies.
Although he signalled openness to talks, markets interpreted the comments as a precursor to deeper transatlantic friction.
As investors moved into safe-haven assets, the dollar fell 0.8 per cent against the euro, while the S&P 500 declined about 1.7 per cent.
Nigeria’s external reserves continued their upward trend, rising by $49.34 million to reach $45.95 billion, further reinforcing confidence in near-term FX stability.
Analysts expect the naira to remain relatively firm in the short term, supported by higher oil receipts, improved foreign portfolio investment inflows, and consistent FX management by the CBN.
However, the picture was mixed across markets. In the parallel market, the naira weakened slightly by 0.02 per cent to trade around N1,481 per dollar, reflecting lingering speculative pressures
Business
Dollar to Naira exchange rate today, January 21, 2026
The Nigerian Naira maintained a stable trajectory against the United States Dollar during the mid-week trading session, reflecting the positive sentiment surrounding the Central Bank of Nigeria’s (CBN) 2026 macroeconomic outlook. Market participants observed a consistent performance across both the official and parallel windows as the year’s economic activity enters full gear.
Official Market Trends
In the Nigerian Foreign Exchange Market (NFEM), the Naira showed minor fluctuations but remained within a controlled range. Opening at approximately 1,419.29 per dollar, the currency saw early morning price discovery settle at 1,419.77 per dollar. This level is consistent with the closing figures from the previous session, where the rate hovered around the 1,420 mark.
The stability in the official window is attributed to a steady supply of foreign exchange and the central bank’s ongoing commitment to price transparency. Financial experts note that the 2026 projections, which forecast external reserves potentially exceeding $50 billion later this year, have helped bolster investor confidence, preventing the sharp volatility seen in previous January cycles.
Parallel Market Realities
The informal or parallel market remains slightly higher than the official rate, but the spread continues to stay within a manageable corridor. In major currency hubs across Lagos, Abuja, and Kano, the dollar is being traded between 1,480 and 1,485.
Bureau De Change operators indicate that while retail demand for personal and business travel is present, there has been a notable absence of the aggressive speculation that historically pressured the local currency. This stability is partly credited to improved diaspora remittances and a more predictable flow of foreign currency through formal banking channels.
Market Outlook
The broader outlook for the Naira remains cautiously optimistic. With inflation projected to moderate to 12.94 percent over the course of the year and real GDP growth expected to hit 4.49 percent, analysts believe the current exchange rate levels are sustainable. The transition into a “stabilization year” has so far been marked by improved crude oil output and a surplus in the balance of payments, providing a solid cushion for the Naira.
However, market watchers remain attentive to global oil price trends and domestic production levels, as these remain the primary drivers of foreign exchange liquidity in the Nigerian economy.
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