Business
Israel-Iran Conflict Threatens Nigeria’s Economy – CPPE
Policymakers should begin to explore fiscal policy options to bring down costs in the economy.
The Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise (CPPE) says the ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran could lead to significant economic disruptions in Nigeria, including increased inflation, rising energy costs, and tighter credit conditions.
On June 13, Israel launched a fusillade of attacks targeting Iran’s nuclear programme and military leadership.
Israeli defence officials said the missiles killed members of Iran’s general staff, including Hossein Salami, commander-in-chief of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard, and several senior nuclear scientists.
In response, Iran unleashed ballistic missiles into Israeli territory as explosions were heard over Tel Aviv and Jerusalem on Friday night.
In a statement on Sunday, Muda Yusuf, the chief executive officer (CEO) of CPPE, said while the crisis could boost Nigeria’s oil earnings in the short term, the broader implications for inflation, interest rates, and global trade remain worrying.
“The outbreak of war between Israel and Iran has added a troubling dimension to the challenges of an already floundering global economy,” Yusuf said.
“For the Nigerian economy, the implications are mixed. The development portends a combination of risks and upsides for the economy.”
PETROL, DIESEL PRICES TO RISE ON GLOBAL ENERGY SHOCK
The CPPE chief said global oil prices have jumped 15 percent in the days following the conflict, rising from $65 to $75 per barrel.
This, he noted, would lead to a corresponding spike in the cost of petrol, diesel, jet fuel, and gas in Nigeria — with implications for inflation and business margins.
“Energy cost is a major factor in the Nigerian inflation equation. It impacts production, transportation, and power generation,” Yusuf said.
He warned that Nigerian firms may face “imported inflation” and higher borrowing costs as the central bank and other monetary authorities respond with interest rate hikes.
Despite the risks, Yusuf said Nigeria stands to benefit from stronger foreign exchange (FX) inflows and government revenue if oil prices remain elevated.
“With oil being Nigeria’s biggest forex earner, a sustained rise in prices would positively impact the country’s foreign reserves, ensure better liquidity and help stabilise the naira,” Yusuf said.
He added that the improved fiscal outlook could aid the government’s efforts at fiscal consolidation and narrow the deficit.
The think tank also flagged potential risks to local firms with trade or supply chain links in the Middle East, adding that investors may increasingly seek safe-haven assets, leading to stock market volatility in other parts of the world.
However, the economist said the Nigerian stock market, which historically responds positively to oil price booms, may buck that trend.
“The outlook for the Nigerian stock market is therefore likely to be positive in the current context,” he added.
The CPPE cautioned that oil revenue gains could fuel excess liquidity in the economy if not well managed, warning of exchange rate pressure and inflationary risks if the central bank fails to sterilise monetised oil receipts.
Thecable.ng
Business
Black Market Naira To Dollar Exchange Rate Today 12th January 2026
What is the Dollar to Naira Exchange rate at the black market, also known as the parallel market (Aboki fx)?
You can swap your dollar for Naira at these rates.
How much is a dollar to naira today in the black market?
The exchange rate for a dollar to naira at Lagos Parallel Market (Black Market) players buy a dollar for N1490 and sell at N1505 on Sunday, 11th January 2026 according to sources at Bureau De Change (BDC).
Black Market Exchange Rate Today 12th January, 2026
Buying Rate N1485
Selling Rate N1500
The exchange rate between the US dollar (USD) and the Nigerian naira (NGN) which rate we have given above; is a topic of high constant interest for people who are Nigerian and businesses and policymakers in Nigeria.
This rate of dollars to naira exchange rate influences not only the cost of imported goods but also the cost of travel, international education, and even local prices of certain commodities.
Please note that the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) does not recognize the parallel market (black market), as it has directed individuals who want to engage in Forex to approach their respective banks.
Business
BREAKING: Petrol Depot Owners Crash Prices To Cheapest; Details Emerge
Petrol prices at Nigerian depots have dropped to their lowest levels in months as intense competition grips the downstream market, following the apparent collapse of the fuel supply agreement between the Dangote Petroleum Refinery and independent marketers.
Fresh findings show that depot owners have slashed ex-depot prices to as low as N710 per litre, a sharp reversal from the steep hikes recorded just weeks earlier.,
In the first week of January 2026, depot owners sharply increased gantry prices after reports emerged that the Dangote Refinery had shut down its petrol production unit for maintenance.
Although the refinery denied the reports, the speculation was enough to jolt the market.
Depot prices surged, and the increases quickly filtered through to filling stations nationwide.
Independent marketers raised gantry prices from around N720 per litre to over N800 per litre, with analysts noting that depot operators were exploiting uncertainty surrounding Africa’s largest refinery.
Depot owners reverse course as competition intensifies
The price spike, however, has proven short-lived.
Checks reveal that depot owners have now reversed course, cutting prices aggressively to stay competitive with Dangote Refinery’s pricing structure, especially as fresh fuel imports enter the Nigerian market.
Data from PetroleumPriceNG shows that several major depots reduced prices significantly in recent days.
As of Sunday, January 11, 2026, ShellPlux sold petrol at N710 per litre, MAO at N715, while A.Y.M.
Falling crude oil prices add more pressure
Energy experts say global oil market dynamics are also contributing to the decline in local petrol prices.
“Crude oil is currently trading between $50 and $60 per barrel in the international market,” energy policy analyst Adeola Yusuf told Legit.ng.
According to him, ongoing geopolitical tensions involving Venezuela and Iran have pushed crude prices lower, with direct implications for refined fuel costs.
“Crude oil is often used as a political tool and is highly sensitive to geopolitical developments. When prices drop, refined product prices usually follow, especially in domestic markets,” Yusuf explained.
Business
Good News: Cooking Gas Prices Drop As LPG Supply Improves Across Nigeria
Prices of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), commonly known as cooking gas, are crashing in several parts of the country as retailers report improved supplies.
According to a market survey by PUNCH, retailers and consumers confirmed that prices have dropped and the product has become more available across the country.
This development follows months of scarcity, which led to a nationwide hike in prices. The scarcity peaked in September 2025.
Consumers in Lagos, Ogun, Oyo and other states confirmed that they purchased cooking gas within the N1,050 to N1,400 range. Some major marketers were also reported to be selling directly to consumers at around N900 per kilogramme.
For many households, the current prices represent a significant improvement from the sharp increases recorded last year, when LPG prices surged after a dispute involving the Dangote refinery and the Petroleum and Natural Gas Senior Staff Association of Nigeria (PENGASSAN) led to the shutdown of some gas facilities.
Despite the improvement, several consumers said they were hopeful that prices would fall below N1,000 per kilogramme in the new year, arguing that lower costs are critical to promoting clean cooking and reducing reliance on firewood and kerosene.
Speaking on the situation, the National Chairman of the Liquefied Petroleum Gas Retailers branch of the Nigeria Union of Petroleum and Natural Gas Workers (NUPENG), Ayobami Olarinoye, said the LPG market had become relatively stable, with increased supply reaching Lagos.
According to Olarinoye, some off-takers are now receiving gas in Apapa, Lagos, helping to ease availability challenges experienced in previous months.
He explained that retail prices at street-level outlets currently range between N1,300 and N1,400 per kilogramme, noting that costs vary based on neighbourhoods, transportation and logistics.
Olarinoye added that prices could be lower at filling stations and gas plants, where operational and distribution costs are reduced.
He further disclosed that retailers currently purchase LPG from major marketers at prices between N960 and N1,050 per kilogram, depending on the supplier. According to the NUPENG official, sellers offering LPG below N1,000 per kilogramme are typically major dealers who own their own plants and sell directly to end users and do not distribute to retailers.
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