Politics
How Tinubu Is Plotting to Trap Peter Obi, Atiku in 2027, Analysts Reveal
As Nigeria approaches its upcoming presidential election, the political atmosphere is becoming increasingly charged, especially for incumbent President Bola Ahmed Tinubu.
This election represents a significant opportunity for meaningful dialogue and debate. The African Democratic Congress (ADC) coalition, led by Atiku Abubakar, is stepping forward to challenge Tinubu’s presidency, which could enhance the democratic process.
A coalition of civil society groups has warned that the opposition risks handing President Bola Tinubu an easy second term in 2027 unless former Vice President Atiku Abubakar and Labour Party presidential candidate Peter Obi join forces.
The groups warn that the APC has set up obstacles that make it nearly impossible for either opposition figure to win if they run separately
Coalition research shows only a joint ticket can overcome what it describes as strategic barriers to a free and fair presidential contest
The coalition issued the warning after a strategy meeting in Abuja that brought together members of the Save Democracy Mega Alliance (SDMA), the Civil Societies Alliance and other groups.
Speaking after the gathering, South South Coordinator of SDMA Tony Akeni said the coalition’s research shows that a divided opposition cannot defeat the All Progressives Congress’ Tinubu in the next presidential election.
He said their study revealed “insurmountable obstacles” already being put in place by the ruling party to prevent a fair contest.
“If the right decisions are taken by stakeholders of our opposition political parties and electorates, we shall achieve the urgent objective of emancipating our country through the ballot in 2027,” Akeni said. “If, however, leaders of the progressive opposition missed presidential victory in 2027 through wrong decisions, the consequences shall be dire for our nation in countless ways.”
Akeni described Atiku Abubakar, now a member of the African Democratic Congress, and Peter Obi of the Labour Party as the most credible figures to challenge the ruling party
“Fortunately, today Nigeria is blessed with two outstanding political opposition figures, each one eminently qualified to preside over our country as President and recover our nation to the path of greatness from 2027 forward,” he said.
He warned that intelligence gathered over several months shows that the APC has already structured the political environment to frustrate any attempt by either Atiku or Obi to win if they contest separately.
“The second truth is that the ruling APC has strategically, scientifically put in place practically insurmountable obstacles designed to prevent free and fair elections through which either Atiku, contesting in a separate party ballot, or Peter Obi, contesting in another political party, should ever hope to emerge victorious in the 2027 Presidential election,” he said.
According to the coalition, the only way to overcome these barriers is for Atiku and Obi to close ranks and present a single presidential ticket.
Akeni said the administration’s alleged tactics will only succeed if both men “make the fatal, historically regrettable and irredeemable mistake of contesting the 2027 presidential election on the platforms of two separate or competing political parties.”
Pastor’s Daughter Trending Leaked S£x Video Controversy: What You Should Know
As Osun State heads towards the August 15, 2026 governorship election, the battle between incumbent Governor Ademola Adeleke of the Accord Party and Bola Oyebamiji (AMBO) of the All Progressives Congress (APC) is becoming one of the most closely watched political contests in the country.
While the election remains too close to call with certainty, a careful assessment of the current political situation gives Governor Ademola Adeleke a slight edge over Oyebamiji.
The contest is increasingly shaping up as a two-horse race, although African Democratic Congress (ADC) candidate Najeem Salaam remains a notable third-force contender.
Why Adeleke May Have the Advantage
One of Adeleke’s biggest strengths is incumbency. The governor is seeking to retain the office and has been campaigning on projects and programmes implemented during his first term.
His campaign has also received political boosts from defections by some former APC figures and associates of former Governor Gboyega Oyetola. Several former commissioners and aides have reportedly moved towards Adeleke’s camp.
Adeleke has additionally received endorsements from some traditional security outfits and ethnic groups in the state, although such endorsements should not automatically be interpreted as guaranteed votes.
Another important factor is the governor’s political visibility. Having contested and won the governorship previously, Adeleke already has an established electoral structure and name recognition across the state.
Why Oyebamiji Could Still Shock Adeleke
Despite Adeleke’s advantages, Oyebamiji should not be underestimated.
The APC candidate has the backing of the federal ruling party and former Governor Oyetola, while the APC is attempting to regain control of Osun after losing the governorship in 2022. Analysts have described the contest as a critical battle for the APC and a test of its ability to recover political ground in the state.
An earlier opinion poll published in January gave Oyebamiji 52 per cent against Adeleke’s 38 per cent, although that survey is several months old and should not be treated as a current projection of the final result.
The APC has also been working to consolidate its structures across the state and present Oyebamiji as an alternative to the incumbent.
The Major Problem for APC
The biggest concern for Oyebamiji may be internal cohesion.
Reports in recent weeks have highlighted resignations and defections within the Osun APC, with some former party members moving towards Adeleke’s camp.
If the APC fails to unite its grassroots structures before election day completely, Adeleke could benefit significantly.
Prediction
Prediction: Ademola Adeleke is slightly more likely to win the Osun 2026 governorship election.
Ademola Adeleke (Accord): 50%
Bola Oyebamiji (APC): 40%
Najeem Salaam (ADC): 10%
These figures are mere analytical estimates, not opinion polls or official forecasts. The election could still swing towards Oyebamiji if the APC succeeds in consolidating its structures, increasing turnout in its strongholds and converting federal political influence into actual votes.
However, based on incumbency, Adeleke’s existing grassroots structure, recent defections to his camp and the current political momentum, the prediction at this stage is that Adeleke could narrowly retain the Osun Government House.
The outcome will ultimately depend on voter turnout, party organisation, election-day mobilisation and the actual votes cast and counted on August 15.
Predicted Winner: Ademola Adeleke — Accord Party.
The Federal High Court sitting in Abuja on Wednesday ruled against Mr. Timehin Adeleye, who represented the Owo/Ose Federal Constituency of Ondo State, declaring him ineligible as the All Progressives Congress (APC) candidate for the federal constituency.
The court recognized Abdugani Arobo as the legitimate candidate for the party.
Adeleye had previously been listed as a candidate based on information provided to the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) by the APC’s National Working Committee (NWC).
However, this decision sparked protests among several APC members and party leaders in Ondo State who opposed the NWC’s ruling.
Abdugani Arobo, one of the aspirants dissatisfied with the NWC’s selection, initiated legal action against the APC and INEC, culminating in the recent court decision.
In a judgment delivered by Justice Peter Lifu, the court held that the APC failed to make the lawful return and that the evidence of the party was riddled with inconsistencies.
The court declared that the plaintiff (Arobo) was the winner of the primary election for the House of Representatives election for Owo/Ose Federal Constituency.
The judgment read, “The plaintiff, having scored the highest lawful votes cast at the primary election held on the 16th day of May, 2026 with a total of 7,959 votes in Owo Local Government Area and 2,583 votes in Ose Local Government Area respectively, is the only aspirant whose name can be lawfully forwarded to the second defendant (INEC) as its nominated candidate for the seat of the House of Representatives, representing Owo/Ose Federal Constituency.
“An order is hereby made for the defendants to forthwith accept, recognise, support, relate and deal with only the plaintiff, as winner of the House of Representatives election for Owo/Ose Federal Constituency, the plaintiff having scored the highest lawful votes cast in the first defendant’s primary election conducted on the 16th day of May, 2026.
“An order of perpetual injunction is made restraining the defendants, their agents and privies howsoever described, from recognising, dealing or relating with any other person apart from the plaintiff, as winner of the House of Representatives election for Owo/Ose Federal Constituency, the plaintiff having scored the highest lawful votes cast in the first defendant’s primary election conducted on the 16th day of May, 2026.
“An order is further made, directing the 2nd defendant forthwith to reopen its portal, for the purpose of including and uploading the plaintiff’s name, as rightfully nominated candidate of the 1st defendant, for the Owo/Ose Federal Constituency general election, to be conducted in 2027.”
The Secretary of the African Democratic Congress (ADC) in Gombe Local Government Area of Gombe State, Hon. Babangida Usman, popularly known as Babangida Ventures, has resigned from the party and defected to the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) in support of the governorship ambition of Professor Isa Ali Ibrahim Pantami ahead of the 2027 general election.
Babangida announced his resignation in Gombe, confirming that he had stepped down as ADC Local Government Secretary before formally joining the PDP.
Explaining the reasons for his defection, he said his decision was driven by his conviction that Professor Pantami possesses the competence, experience and leadership qualities required to move Gombe State forward.
He described the former Minister of Communications and Digital Economy as the most credible and capable aspirant in the 2027 governorship race, expressing confidence that his administration would accelerate development across the state.
According to him, his decision to align with the PDP was borne out of his desire to contribute to the realisation of Pantami’s governorship aspiration and the transformation of Gombe State.
The defection is the latest in a series of political realignments in the state following Pantami’s emergence as the PDP governorship candidate, with several politicians and supporters across party lines declaring their support for his ambition.
Professor Pantami is expected to fly the PDP flag in the 2027 governorship election in Gombe State
Adeleke or Oyebamiji: ChatGPT Predicts Winner of Osun Governorship Election
Painful, Lagos Speaker Obasa Bereaved
BREAKING: Presidency Finally Speaks After APC Governor Builds Beer Factory in Two Years
Former Super Eagles Star Loses Life Savings, Duped By A Pastor of ₦1.2 Billion
I’m A Married Man, I Can Never Get Myself Involved With Such A Thing, Delta Gov Aide Reveals Why He Offered Comfort ₦500,000 Job
Lagos Imposes ₦250,000 Fine For Illegal Waste Disposal
-
Tech1 day agoPainful, Lagos Speaker Obasa Bereaved
-
News2 days agoFULL LIST: Major Shake Up In Nigeria Police As IGP Deploys Commissioners Of Police
-
Business1 day agoBREAKING: Presidency Finally Speaks After APC Governor Builds Beer Factory in Two Years
-
Politics19 hours agoAdeleke or Oyebamiji: ChatGPT Predicts Winner of Osun Governorship Election
Ipearl
September 23, 2025 at 7:28 pm
..see, no matter the junk press manipulation of information, Jagaban will win..what some of you neophyte don’t realise is that not often do sum of two candidates add in the final event, where support numbers scramble and reset in various dimension shared by the mergers and the incumbent target..how about that for thought?..