Business
Crude Oil Price Crashes, Puts 2025 FG Revenue Target In jeopardy
The price of Bonny Light, Nigeria’s premium oil grade, yesterday, dropped by 5.09 percent to $59.62 per barrel in the global market at the backdrop of the on-going ripples created by the tariff war that has followed the series of tariff hikes announced by the United States of America early this week.
The oil price was also hit by the decision of the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies to increase oil production by 411,000 barrels per day (bpd) in May, 2025.
Experts said the development would negatively impact the nation’s N54.99 trillion 2025 budget, which is based on oil price of $75 per barrel and 2.06 million barrels per day (bpd).
This indicates a massive setback in terms of price and output as the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission, NUPRC, puts the output, including Condensate at 1,671,953 bpd in February 2025.
In an interview with Vanguard, Chief Executive Officer, Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise, CPPE, Dr. Muda Yusuf, said: “This is a serious problem as we have just completed the first quarter of the year. We have three more quarters to go, meaning that we have serious issues in our hands, if the situation persists.
“It poses a very serious challenge to our economic management team. First, it poses a risk to our revenue. Second, it poses a risk to our exchange rate. Our economy is dependent to foreign exchange earnings. The low oil price would put pressure on foreign exchange earnings. We all know the implications on a weak exchange rate on the economy.”
However, findings by Vanguard indicated that the low crude oil prices may culminate in low prices of petroleum products in the domestic market.
The findings showed that major players in Nigeria’s downstream sector would announce a reduction in the prices of Premium Motor Spirit, PMS, also known as petrol.
In an interview with Energy Vanguard, the Chairman of the Lagos State Chapter of Petroleum Products Retail Outlet Owners Association of Nigeria, PETROAN, Ehimen Joseph, said: “This should be expected in a deregulated market. If the fall in crude oil prices persists for a while, it would impact developments in the value chain.”
Similarly, another operator, who pleaded anonymity, said: “Everything is pointing towards pump price reduction this week. One of the nation’s refineries has stopped printing its petrol tickets.
“There are claims there would be a petrol price review before Tuesday. All those who paid for the program are likely to get a discount on the new price, and then tickets will be issued.
“This is a reflection of the general fall in the prices of crude oil in the international market. Crude oil prices started falling after the Organisation of Oil Producing Countries and its allies, also known as OPEC+ decided to increase oil output by 410,000 barrels per day starting in May 2025.”
According to petroleum price.ng, the depot prices of Mainland, A.Y.M and Ever have dropped to N918 per litre from N920 and N919 from N920 per litre, respectively.
Also, the depot prices of Prudent, Eterna and Soroman have dropped to N912 from N913 per litre, N897 from N900 per litre and N915 from N916 per litre, respectively.
Meanwhile, in a report, OPEC stated: “The eight OPEC+ countries, which previously announced additional voluntary adjustments in April and November 2023, namely Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, UAE, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, and Oman, met virtually on 3 April 2025, to review global market conditions and outlook”.
Business
Another Billionaire set To Complete $1 Billion Refinery In Nigeria
Nigerians may soon have another operational refinery as billionaire businessman Azibapu Eruani’s Azikel Refinery in Yenagoa, Bayelsa State, enters its final stage of construction.
The refinery is designed to process 25,000 barrels of crude oil or condensate daily and produce petrol, diesel, aviation fuel, kerosene, liquefied petroleum gas and other refined products.
The refinery is designed as a full-slate hydro-skimming plant with a capacity to process 25,000 barrels of crude oil or condensate per day.
Eruani, president of Azikel Group, disclosed the development during a recent tour of the refinery complex by members of the Nigerian Society of Engineers. Nigerian billionaire builds refinery
About 700 engineers and other personnel are currently working on the completion of the project, with most of the workforce comprising young Bayelsans and Nigerian engineers alongside expatriate specialists.
Azikel said the refinery is expected to employ more than 3,000 people when it becomes operational, while the project has already generated more than 80,000 indirect jobs, Biilionaires.Africa reports.
Mac Jokori, chairman of the Nigerian Society of Engineers, Bayelsa branch, described the facility as a major milestone for Nigeria’s refining industry.
Jokori said the refinery had complied with high engineering standards and would contribute to industrialisation, local capacity development and employment opportunities for young Nigerians. Refinery to produce petrol, aviation fuel
The Azikel facility is a full-slate hydro-skimming refinery designed to process both crude oil and condensate.
The refinery is expected to produce premium motor spirit, diesel, aviation fuel, kerosene, liquefied petroleum gas and other petroleum products.
Eruani said the ability to convert crude oil or condensate into petrol and aviation fuel was a major feature of the refinery.
He described Azikel as Nigeria’s second-largest full-slate refinery and said it was the only refinery in Africa designed to process condensate into a complete range of products.
Guardian reports that the company plans to expand the refinery’s capacity to 125,000 barrels per day in the future.
Azikel refinery capacity increased The refinery project has grown significantly from the facility initially approved by regulators.
The project received approval in 2015 under former President Muhammadu Buhari. In November 2023, Azikel Petroleum signed a $259 million debt funding agreement with the African Export-Import Bank for a 12,000-barrel-per-day hydro-skimming refinery.
However, Eruani said the project subsequently underwent enhanced value engineering and redesign, increasing its capacity to 25,000 barrels per day.
“The Azikel Refinery licensed by former President Muhammadu Buhari in 2015 has now gone through several enhanced value engineering and redesign to a 25,000 barrels per day capacity. It is now a $1 billion investment.”
Azikel Petroleum contracted US oil services company McDermott for feasibility studies and construction work on the facility.
Business
Dangote Refinery Raises Petrol Price as Depot Rates Hit N1,200 Per Litre
Nigerians could face another round of petrol price increases after the Dangote Refinery raised its ex-gantry petrol price, triggering fresh upward pressure across the downstream petroleum market. The 700,000-barrels-per-day Dangote Refinery increased its petrol price by N15.50, from N1,150 to N1,181 per litre.
The latest adjustment comes as international crude oil prices approach $90 per barrel amid growing concerns over global energy supply.
Analysts said the move could be a defensive response to higher crude acquisition and operating costs, particularly as tensions involving the United States and Iran escalate around tanker traffic through the strategic Strait of Hormuz.
Nigerian depot prices climb
The impact of the refinery’s price adjustment is already being felt across Nigeria’s petroleum depots. Data from PetroleumPriceNG showed that depot petrol prices rose by nearly three per cent as of Tuesday, August 11, 2026, with several operators adjusting their rates upward. Soroman recorded one of the sharpest increases, raising its petrol price by N50 to N1,250 per litre. NIPCO also increased its rate to N1,200 per litre. Integrated raised its price by N25 to N1,200 per litre, while PIVOT increased its rate by N32 to N1,200 per litre.
The latest adjustments have pushed average depot prices to around N1,200 per litre, adding fresh pressure to marketers and retailers.
Filling stations face fresh pressure
The increase at the depot level could eventually translate into higher pump prices if crude oil remains elevated and transportation and logistics costs continue to rise. Major filling stations, including Dangote Refinery-backed MRS, have continued to sell petrol at prices ranging from about N1,240 to N1,260 per litre in some locations.
Energy policy expert Adeola Yusuf said consumers should closely monitor developments in the international oil market, warning that prolonged tensions around the Strait of Hormuz could trigger further increases.
“The situation remains fluid, and Nigerians should watch out for more increases in the coming days,” Yusuf said.
For motorists and households already grappling with elevated living costs, another petrol price increase could raise transportation and logistics expenses, potentially pushing up the prices of food, goods and other essential services.
Business
Dollar to Naira Exchange Rate Today, August 12, 2026
The naira traded around ₦1,368 to the US dollar in the official Nigerian Foreign Exchange Market (NFEM) on Wednesday, August 12, 2026, as the Central Bank of Nigeria’s reference rate continued to hover within the ₦1,360–₦1,370 range.
Data from the CBN and FMDQ showed the NFEM rate at about ₦1,368.22 per dollar, while the broader market benchmark remained around ₦1,368.37/$, indicating little movement from the previous trading session.
At the parallel market, commonly referred to as the black market, the dollar was quoted at about ₦1,405 on Wednesday, leaving a gap of roughly ₦37 between the official and street rates.
The current spread suggests that pressure in the retail foreign exchange segment remains moderate, with the premium staying far below the wide differentials seen during periods of heightened volatility in 2024 and 2025.
The CBN maintains that the NFEM rate is determined using a volume-weighted average of transactions conducted in the official market, following the unification of Nigeria’s exchange-rate windows. FMDQ continues to publish daily market data for the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEM), which serves as the benchmark for official dollar transactions.
Currency traders said demand from importers and manufacturers remained steady, while improved FX liquidity from autonomous sources helped keep the official rate relatively stable.
For individuals and businesses, the applicable exchange rate may vary slightly depending on the bank, bureau de change, transfer platform, or location of the transaction.
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