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Two-Year Refining Milestone: Fuel Import Spending Crashes 54% To $6.7bn

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The amount spent on the importation of refined petroleum products has dropped sharply by 54 per cent in two years, falling from $14.58bn in the first nine months of 2023 to $6.71bn in the corresponding period of 2025, according to data from the Central Bank of Nigeria’s Balance of Payments report.

It declined from $14.58bn in the first nine months of 2023 to $11.38bn in the corresponding period of 2024, before dropping further to $6.71bn within nine months of 2025.

This is according to a comparative analysis of the 2023 and 2024 full-year and the Q3 2025 Balance of Payments presentation, released by the CBN and reviewed by The PUNCH on Monday.

The figures obtained from the CBN documents showed a sustained moderation in fuel importation, with import bills declining year-on-year over the period under review.

The data revealed that Nigeria spent $11.38bn on refined petroleum product imports between January and September 2024, representing a $3.20bn or 21.9 per cent decline compared with $14.58bn recorded in the same period of 2023, pointing to a sharp contraction in foreign exchange outflows associated with refined petroleum products.

The downward trend accelerated in 2025, with fuel imports dropping further by $4.67bn, or 41 per cent, to $6.71bn within the first nine months of the year, marking the steepest year-on-year contraction in the period analysed.

Overall, the figures show that Nigeria spent $7.87bn less on refined fuel imports in the first nine months of 2025 than it did in the corresponding period of 2023, underscoring a significant easing of foreign exchange outflows linked to petroleum product imports.

The CBN data also showed a 41 per cent year-on-year decline in refined petroleum product imports by the third quarter of 2025, signalling early signs of import substitution as new and rehabilitated refineries scale up operations.

The PUNCH reports that Nigeria’s reduced foreign exchange spending on imports comes against the backdrop of a series of structural reforms and market adjustments aimed at easing pressure on the country’s external reserves and stabilising the naira.

For decades, Nigeria relied heavily on imports, particularly refined petroleum products, due to limited domestic productive capacity, weak industrial output, and chronic underinvestment in critical infrastructure. This dependence made import financing one of the largest drains on foreign exchange earnings.

The removal of petrol subsidies in 2023 marked a major turning point, as higher pump prices curbed fuel consumption and reduced arbitrage-driven demand. The policy shift, combined with stricter foreign exchange management by the Central Bank of Nigeria, helped moderate import volumes and limit speculative FX demand linked to fuel importation.

Another key factor has been the gradual expansion of domestic supply, especially in the downstream oil sector. Energy experts also say competition within the market has intensified as marketers struggle to compete with supply from the $20bn Dangote Petroleum Refinery in Lekki.

Despite the decline, Nigerian fuel-importing marketers still spent an estimated $6.71bn importing refined products during the review period, underscoring the country’s continued dependence on foreign fuel supplies, despite repeated assurances that domestic refining would significantly curb imports.

Although the quarterly fuel import bill declined consistently, the data highlighted persistent structural weaknesses in the downstream oil sector.

Professional speak

Commenting, renowned energy economist Professor Wumi Iledare, noted that Nigeria’s reliance on imported petrol has declined but has not been eliminated. He also warned against claims that fuel importation has ended following increased domestic supply from the Dangote Petroleum Refinery.

In a personal note titled “Dangote Refinery, Petrol Imports, and Market Reality,” Iledare said recent assertions that Nigeria no longer imports petrol reflect “understandable optimism” but overstate the economic reality of the downstream oil market.

“Recent claims that petrol importation into Nigeria has ended because Dangote Refinery now meets domestic demand reflect understandable optimism, but they overstate economic reality.

“Dangote Refinery has significantly improved domestic supply conditions and reduced Nigeria’s marginal reliance on imported petrol. However, neither Dangote Refinery nor petroleum marketers determine national supply outcomes,” he said.

Iledare, who also serves as Executive Director of the Emmanuel Egbogah Foundation, Abuja, acknowledged that the Dangote Refinery has significantly improved domestic supply conditions and reduced Nigeria’s marginal dependence on imported petrol

 

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Good News: Chinese Firm In Fresh Moves To Restart Nigeria’s Refineries

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The Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited has signed a fresh agreement with two Chinese firms in a move aimed at accelerating the long-delayed rehabilitation and commercial restart of Nigeria’s refineries, while opening a new window for technical equity partnerships.

The deal, structured as a Memorandum of Understanding, was signed with Sanjiang Chemical Company Limited and Xingcheng (Fuzhou) Industrial Park Operation and Management Co. Ltd, marking what the national oil company described as a “critical milestone” in its refinery transformation drive.

The agreement was executed in Jiaxing City, China, on April 30, 2026, by the Group Chief Executive Officer of NNPC Ltd, Bashir Bayo Ojulari, alongside the Chairman of Sanjiang Chemical Company, Guan Jianzhong, and Chairman of Xingcheng Industrial Park, Bill Bi.

According to a statement issued on Monday by the Chief Corporate Communications Officer of NNPC Ltd, Andy Odeh, the MoU sets the stage for a potential Technical Equity Partnership aimed at completing outstanding work at the Port Harcourt and Warri refineries, as well as ensuring their long-term operational efficiency.

The statement read, “The NNPC Ltd has signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with two Chinese companies, Sanjiang Chemical Company Limited and Xingcheng (Fuzhou) Industrial Park Operation and Management Co. Ltd, for collaboration through a potential Technical Equity Partnership in support of the completion and operation of the Port Harcourt and Warri Refineries.”

The national oil firm said the collaboration would go beyond rehabilitation, extending into full-scale operation and maintenance of the facilities to achieve “best-in-class, sustainable performance.”

It added that the arrangement would also explore expansion projects that would reposition the refineries to produce cleaner fuels and higher-value petroleum products, in line with evolving global standards.

Ojulari, speaking shortly after the signing ceremony, described the agreement as the outcome of more than six months of intensive technical and commercial engagements between NNPC and the Chinese firms.

He said, “All parties recognise mutually beneficial opportunities for the development and long-term sustainable profitability of NNPC’s refining assets in Nigeria, and the collective weight required for success.”

The NNPC boss stressed that the MoU represents a transition from traditional contractor-led rehabilitation to a more performance-driven partnership model anchored on shared risks and returns.

He added, “This is an important step on the journey towards identifying potential technical equity partner or partners to restart and expand NNPC’s refineries, and to explore opportunities in co-located petrochemicals and gas-based industries.”

The shift to a technical equity model signals a strategic departure from past refinery turnaround maintenance programmes, many of which failed to deliver lasting results despite significant financial outlays.

Under the proposed framework, the Chinese partners are expected to bring not just engineering expertise, but also operational discipline and investment capacity, aligning their returns with the performance of the refineries.The scope of the collaboration, as outlined by NNPC, includes the development of co-located gas-based industrial hubs, which could transform the Port Harcourt and Warri complexes into integrated energy and petrochemical centres.

Such hubs are expected to unlock additional value from Nigeria’s vast gas reserves, while supporting domestic manufacturing and export-oriented industries.

The company noted that while the MoU reflects a shared intention to advance discussions in good faith, any binding agreements would be subject to regulatory approvals and the conclusion of detailed commercial negotiations.

The latest deal aligns with Ojulari’s earlier position at the Nigeria International Energy Summit 2026, where he openly canvassed for global technical partners to take equity positions in Nigeria’s refining assets.

At the summit, Ojulari had argued that Nigeria’s refining challenges were not just financial, but deeply technical and operational, requiring experienced partners with proven track records.

He said, “What we are doing differently is moving away from just funding projects to bringing in partners who have skin in the game, partners who will operate, optimise, and guarantee performance.”

He further explained that the technical equity model would ensure accountability and efficiency, as partners would only profit when the refineries perform optimally.

He stated, “The days of spending billions on rehabilitation without sustainable output are behind us. We are now focused on partnerships that deliver value, technology transfer, and operational excellence.”

Ojulari also highlighted the importance of integrating refining with petrochemicals and gas-based industries, noting that modern refineries globally are designed as energy hubs rather than standalone fuel-processing plants.

Refineries must evolve into integrated industrial platforms. That is where the future lies, petrochemicals, fertilizers, gas monetisation. That is how you create real economic value,” he said.

Nigeria’s state-owned refineries, located in Port Harcourt, Warri, and Kaduna, have suffered decades of underperformance, frequent shutdowns, and failed rehabilitation efforts, forcing the country to rely heavily on imported petroleum products.

Despite multiple turnaround maintenance projects, the facilities have consistently operated far below capacity, raising concerns over efficiency, transparency, and value for money.

The current administration has prioritised refinery revival as part of its broader energy security strategy, while also supporting private sector investments such as the Dangote Refinery.

The NNPC’s renewed push for technical equity partners comes amid growing pressure to reduce fuel import dependence, stabilise domestic supply, and conserve foreign exchange.

With this latest China deal, the national oil company appears to be betting on a new partnership model, one that ties investment returns directly to performance, in a bid to finally unlock the long-elusive potential of Nigeria’s refining sector.

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Dangote Announces New Petrol Price, Takes Fresh Action

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Dangote Refinery Slashes Ex-Depot Price By N40

Fresh pressure is building in Nigeria’s fuel market after Dangote Refinery raised the price of petrol and halted supply operations.

The development has triggered concerns among marketers and consumers, as the impact is expected to ripple across the country in the coming days.

The refinery increased its ex-depot price of Premium Motor Spirit by N75 per litre. This pushed the loading cost from N1,200 per litre to N1,275 per litre.

Coastal supply price was also adjusted upward to N1,215 per litre. The new pricing structure has already begun to influence activities in the downstream sector.

A senior official at the facility confirmed the adjustment. According to the official, “Yes, the increase of PMS to N1,275 per litre is true. Coastal price is N1,215.”

The confirmation puts to rest earlier uncertainty among marketers who had reported sudden changes in depot pricing.

At the same time, operations were disrupted after the refinery suspended its Proforma Invoice process. This system is critical for product allocation and loading schedules.

Sources familiar with the situation said the process was halted at about 4:00 pm on Tuesday. The decision affected the normal flow of transactions within the loading system.

The disruption immediately led to a pause in the sale of petrol and Automotive Gas Oil. Trucks waiting for loading were reportedly left stranded, while marketers struggled to secure fresh allocations. The halt in supply has created anxiety across distribution channels.

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FULL LIST:  Top 10 Loan Apps in Nigeria With Lowest Interest Rates 

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Nigeria’s credit sector has, in the space of just a few years, moved from a niche fintech offering to a mainstream financial tool used by millions.

A major driver of this surge is mostly limited access to traditional bank loans, and the speed at which digital platforms can deliver cash when it is needed most.

By mid-2025, the market will have expanded sharply, with approved digital lenders rising to about 425 as of May 2025, up from 320 a year earlier.

According to a 2024 report based on a five-year historical analysis, Nigeria’s online loan & credit platforms market is valued at approximately $600 million.

According to the report, recent market estimates indicate that Nigerian digital lending apps issued about 145 million loans worth over $2 billion in a recent year, reflecting the sector’s scale and consumer appetite for digital credit solutions

However, the speed and accessibility of digital loans have also created a crowded and uneven market, where hundreds of platforms compete with different pricing models, especially around one key factor that directly affects borrowers: interest rates.

Based on the list of approved digital lending platforms by the Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Commission (FCCPC), this article ranks apps that offer monthly interest rates below 3%.

Here are 10 loan apps with the lowest interest rates in Q1 2026

10. Renmoney – 2.12% to 2.65% monthly interest rate

9. Nmoney – 2.4% monthly interest rate

8. Singacash – 2.4% monthly interest rate

7. Ease Cash – 2.1% monthly interest rate

6. Letshego – from 2% monthly interest rate

5. Futurecash –1.5% to 2.7% monthly interest rate

4. Flash Loan – 1.8% to 2.7% monthly interest rate

3. Airmoni – 1.5% monthly interest rate

2. True Loan –1.2%–2.7% daily interest rate

1. NiNiMoney – 0.3% monthly interest rate

 

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