Business
BREAKING: Nigeria’s Headline Inflation Drops To 14.45% [Details]
Nigeria’s headline inflation rate eased further in November 2025, dropping to 14.45 per cent year on year, according to the latest Consumer Price Index report released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).
The report, published on the NBS website on Monday, showed that while consumer prices continued to rise every month, annual inflation moderated significantly under the new base year.
According to the NBS, the Consumer Price Index increased to 130.5 points in November 2025 from 128.9 points in October, representing a 1.6-point rise month on month.
“The Consumer Price Index rose to 130.5 in November 2025, reflecting a 1.6-point increase from the preceding month (128.9),” the bureau stated.
However, the headline inflation rate declined to 14.45 per cent year on year, compared with 16.05 per cent recorded in October 2025.
“In November 2025, the Headline inflation rate eased to 14.45 per cent relative to the October 2025 headline inflation rate of 16.05 per cent.
“Looking at the movement, the November 2025 Headline inflation rate showed a decrease of 1.6 per cent compared to the October 2025 Headline inflation rate,” the report added.
Monthly Inflation Still Rises
Naija News understands that on a month-on-month basis, headline inflation stood at 1.22 per cent in November, higher than the 0.93 per cent recorded in October, indicating that average prices increased at a faster pace during the month despite the moderation in annual inflation.
The NBS noted that headline inflation in November 2025 was 20.15 percentage points lower than the 34.60 per cent recorded in November 2024, largely reflecting the impact of the rebasing exercise, with the new base year set at 2024 instead of 2009.
Data from the report showed that the average CPI for the twelve months ending November 2025 rose by 20.41 per cent compared with the average of the preceding twelve months, a sharp slowdown from the 32.77 per cent recorded in November 2024.
Food and non-alcoholic beverages remained the largest contributor to headline inflation on a year-on-year basis, accounting for 5.78 percentage points. This was followed by restaurants and accommodation services at 1.87 percentage points and transport at 1.54 percentage points.
Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels contributed 1.22 percentage points, while education services and health accounted for 0.90 and 0.88 percentage points, respectively.
At the month-on-month level, food and non-alcoholic beverages also drove price increases, contributing 0.49 percentage points, followed by restaurants and accommodation services at 0.16 percentage points and transport at 0.13 percentage points.
Urban Inflation Drops Sharply
A breakdown by location showed that urban inflation stood at 13.61 per cent year on year in November 2025, a decline of 23.49 percentage points from the 37.10 per cent recorded in November 2024.
On a month-on-month basis, urban inflation slowed to 0.95 per cent from 1.14 per cent in October, while the twelve-month average urban inflation rate eased to 20.80 per cent.
In contrast, rural inflation was higher at 15.15 per cent year on year in November, although this was still 17.12 percentage points lower than the 32.27 per cent recorded in the corresponding period of 2024.
Month-on-month rural inflation, however, accelerated sharply to 1.88 per cent from 0.45 per cent in October, reflecting stronger price pressures in rural areas during the month.
Food Inflation Moderates Annually
Food inflation also moderated significantly on an annual basis. The NBS reported that food inflation stood at 11.08 per cent year on year in November 2025, down by 28.85 percentage points from the 39.93 per cent recorded in November 2024.
However, month-on-month food inflation rose to 1.13 per cent from a contraction of 0.37 per cent in October.
The increase was driven by higher prices of items such as dried tomatoes, cassava tubers, shelled periwinkle, ground pepper, eggs, crayfish, egusi, oxtail and fresh onions.
The average annual food inflation rate for the twelve months ending November 2025 was 19.68 per cent, compared with 38.67 per cent in the same period of 2024.
Core inflation, which excludes volatile agricultural produce and energy prices, stood at 18.04 per cent year on year in November 2025, down from 28.75 per cent in November 2024.
On a month-on-month basis, core inflation eased slightly to 1.28 per cent from 1.42 per cent in October, while the twelve-month average core inflation rate fell to 20.76 per cent.
Other sub-indices showed that farm produce inflation rose to 0.79 per cent in November from zero per cent in October, while energy inflation increased to 1.08 per cent from 0.50 per cent.
Services inflation rose to 1.82 per cent from 1.54 per cent, and goods inflation increased to 0.79 per cent from 0.63 per cent in the previous month.
States’ Inflation Picture
At the state level, Rivers recorded the highest year-on-year all-items inflation rate at 17.78 per cent, followed by Ogun at 17.65 per cent and Ekiti at 16.77 per cent.
Plateau recorded the lowest year-on-year inflation rate at 9.13 per cent, alongside Kebbi at 10.32 per cent and Katsina at 10.60 per cent.
On a month-on-month basis, Bayelsa recorded the highest increase at 6.58 per cent, followed by Gombe at 5.11 per cent and Edo at 4.45 per cent, while Plateau, Delta and Kaduna recorded declines.
Food inflation data showed that Kogi recorded the highest year-on-year increase at 17.83 per cent, followed by Ogun at 16.52 per cent and Rivers at 16.11 per cent.
Imo, Katsina and Akwa Ibom recorded the slowest rise in food prices on a year-on-year basis. Month-on-month food inflation was highest in Yobe at 9.52 per cent, followed by Katsina at 6.61 per cent and Ondo at 6.04 per cent, while Imo, Nasarawa and Enugu recorded declines.
The NBS cautioned that interstate comparisons should be interpreted carefully, noting that CPI weights differ across states based on consumption patterns, which could make direct comparisons of inflation baskets misleading.
Business
Dangote Appoints Former CBN Boss As Chief Economist
The Dangote Group has announced the appointment of renowned economist and former Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Director, Dr. Mahmud Hassan, as its new Group Chief Economist.
The appointment, announced in a statement on Monday, aims to bolster the Group’s economic advisory capacity, particularly amidst the current environment of high global and domestic market volatility.
In his new capacity, Dr. Hassan will report directly to the President of the Group, Aliko Dangote, and will serve as the Group’s principal advisor on economic strategy, market trends, and policy implications across the conglomerate’s diverse interests.
Dr. Hassan brings over 30 years of extensive experience in economic policy formulation, financial sector regulation, and central banking.
His career at the CBN included key senior positions such as:
Director of the Trade and Exchange Department
Director of the Monetary Policy Department
Secretary to the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC)
Special Assistant on Economic Policy and Research to the CBN Governor
Dr. Hassan is highly credentialed, holding a PhD in Economics and an MSc in Energy Economics and Policy from the University of Surrey in the United Kingdom, alongside a BSc in Economics from Ahmadu Bello University, Zaria.
He is also an alumnus of the Harvard Kennedy School and holds professional certifications as a Bank Examiner and AML/CFT Analyst.
Beyond his corporate roles, Dr. Hassan has played a key part in regional economic integration, serving as a lead consultant to the African Union Commission on trade integration and the establishment of the African Monetary Fund.
He also continues to serve as a visiting professor at several Nigerian universities and is the current President of the Nigerian Association for Energy Economics.
Business
Year-End Festivities Push Monthly Inflation To 4-Month High
Food price increases, driven by year-end festivities demand and insecurity challenges, emerged as the major driver of inflationary pressure in November 2025, pushing the month-on-month (MoM) headline inflation rate to 1.22 per cent, its highest level in four months, with analysts projecting a similar trend in December.
Similarly, the month-on-month (MoM) food inflation rate rose to 1.13 per cent, the highest in three months, driven by an increase in the average prices of some food items.
However, the Headline inflation rate declined for the eight consecutive month, to 14.45 per cent from 16.05 per cent in October.
The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) disclosed this in its latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) report.
CPI rises, MoM inflation accelerates
The NBS said: “The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose to 130.5 in November 2025, reflecting a 1.6-point increase from the preceding month (128.9). In November 2025, the Headline inflation rate eased to 14.45% relative to the October 2025 headline inflation rate of 16.05%. Looking at the movement, the November 2025 Headline inflation rate showed a decrease of 1.6% compared to the October 2025 Headline inflation rate.
“On a year-on-year basis, the Headline inflation rate was 20.15% lower than the rate recorded in November 2024 (34.60%). This shows that the Headline inflation rate (year-on-year basis) decreased in November 2025 compared to the same month in the preceding year (i.e., November 2024), though with a different base year, November 2009 = 100.
“On a month-on-month basis, the Headline inflation rate in November 2025 was 1.22%, which was 0.29% higher than the rate recorded in October 2025 (0.93%). This means that in November 2025, the rate of increase in the average price level was higher than the rate of increase in the average price level in October 2025.
“he percentage change in the average CPI for the twelve months ending November 2025 over the average for the previous twelve-month period was 20.41%, showing a 12.36% decrease compared to 32.77% recorded in November 2024.
Food inflation surges month-on-month
“The Food inflation rate in November 2025 was 11.08% on a year-on-year basis. This was 28.85% points lower compared to the rate recorded in November 2024 (39.93%). The significant decline in the annual food inflation figure is technically due to the change in the base year.
“On a month-on-month basis, the Food inflation rate in November 2025 was 1.13%, up by 1.5% compared to October 2025 (-0.37%). The increase can be attributed to the rate of increase in the average prices of Tomatoes (Dried), Cassava Tu ber, Periwinkle (Shelled), Grounded Pepper, Eggs, Crayfish, Melon (Egusi) Unshelled, Oxtail, Onions (Fresh), etc.”
Business
REA, NBS Sign MoU To Boost Data-Driven Energy Initiatives
The Rural Electrification Agency and the National Bureau of Statistics have entered into a strategic partnership to conduct a comprehensive National Energy Survey aimed at strengthening data-driven planning in Nigeria’s power and energy sector.
The partnership was sealed through a Memorandum of Understanding signed in Abuja by Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of the REA, Dr. Abba Aliyu, and Statistician-General of the Federation and Chief Executive Officer of the NBS, Prince Adeyemi Adeniran .
A statement issued by the REA on Tuesday disclosed that the survey will be conducted using the globally recognised Multi-Tier Tracking Framework and implemented under the Energy Sector Management Assistance Programme of the World Bank.
According to the agency, the initiative is designed to generate high-quality and analytical energy data that will support evidence-based policymaking, programme design, and investment decisions across Nigeria’s electricity value chain.
The statement read, “The Rural Electrification Agency and the National Bureau of Statistics have signed a Memorandum of Understanding to collaborate on the conduct of a comprehensive National Energy Survey using the Multi-Tier Tracking Framework in Nigeria.
“The MoU formalises a strategic partnership between the two Federal Government agencies to provide mutual collaboration and technical support for the survey, which is being implemented under the Energy Sector Management Assistance Program of the World Bank.
“The initiative is designed to generate high-quality, analytical data to support evidence-based planning and policy formulation in Nigeria’s power and energy sector.”
Speaking at the signing ceremony, Aliyu said the collaboration underscored the agency’s commitment to data-driven rural electrification and sustainable energy access.
“This collaboration will provide granular, credible data on electricity access, affordability, and off-grid energy solutions across Nigeria. The findings will directly inform national electrification initiatives such as the National Electrification Strategy and Implementation Plan, while also strengthening investor confidence in the sector,” he said.
He explained that the outcome of the survey would directly inform national electrification initiatives, including the National Electrification Strategy and Implementation Plan, while also boosting investor confidence in the power sector.
“As we work towards universal energy access, accurate data remains critical to prioritising interventions, targeting underserved communities and attracting private capital into the sector,” Aliyu added.
On his part, Adeniran emphasised the role of robust statistical standards in national development planning, noting that the NBS would ensure the credibility and reliability of the survey results.
“NBS is pleased to provide technical oversight, sampling expertise, and quality assurance to ensure that the survey adheres to global best practices,” he said.
“Reliable data is fundamental to effective policy formulation and sustainable development, particularly in a sector as critical as energy,” Adeniran stated.
Under the terms of the MoU, both agencies will collaborate to assess energy access at the household, community, enterprise, and public institution levels using the Multi-Tier Framework.
The survey will also examine household energy affordability, expenditure patterns, and willingness to pay for both grid-connected and off-grid solutions, while analysing access to and usage of off-grid technologies such as solar home systems, mini-grids, and clean cooking solutions.
The REA will serve as a key implementation and policy partner, providing sector expertise, stakeholder engagement, public awareness, and alignment with Nigeria’s rural electrification priorities.
Meanwhile, the NBS will be responsible for regulatory approvals, sampling frames, methodological validation, technical supervision, and capacity building for enumerators to ensure data quality and credibility.
The World Bank, through its Energy Sector Management Assistance Programme, will fund and provide technical oversight for the survey, while engaging a qualified survey firm to handle field data collection, analysis, and reporting.
It explained, “Under the MoU, the Parties will work together to: Assess energy access at household, community, enterprise, and public institution levels using the Multi-Tier Framework; Examine household energy affordability, expenditure patterns, and willingness to pay for grid and off-grid solutions;
“Analyse access to and usage of off-grid technologies, including solar home systems, mini-grids, and clean cooking solutions.
“REA will serve as a key implementation and policy partner, providing sectoral expertise, stakeholder engagement, public awareness, and alignment with Nigeria’s rural electrification priorities.
“NBS will provide regulatory approval, sampling frames, methodological validation, technical supervision, and capacity building for enumerators, ensuring data quality and credibility.”
The MoU is expected to remain in force for 18 months, with data generated from the exercise projected to support national energy planning, improve programme targeting, guide private sector investments, and accelerate Nigeria’s transition towards universal access to electricity and clean cooking solutions.
The collaboration comes against the backdrop of Nigeria’s long-standing electricity access gap, particularly in rural and underserved communities, where millions of households still lack reliable power despite ongoing reforms and investment initiatives.
The availability of credible, up-to-date energy data remains a critical constraint to effective planning and sustainable investment in the sector.
The partnership, therefore, signals the Federal Government’s renewed push to strengthen inter-agency collaboration, improve the availability of reliable energy statistics, and advance inclusive and sustainable electrification nationwide.
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