S&P’s latest position places Nigeria on a stronger footing ahead of future reviews and sends a positive message to global investors assessing opportunities in Africa’s largest economy.
Business
Airtel And MTN Set For Profit Surge In 2025
With data revenue now accounting for nearly half of total income, MTN Nigeria and Airtel Africa are betting big on bytes over voice.
What used to be a value-added service is now the frontline of growth and margin expansion.
But as tariffs rise, consumer habits shift, and digital infrastructure deepens, one question looms for investors:
Can this shift to data finally lift MTN Nigeria out of its retained losses and help Airtel sustain its dollar dividend payout?
The answers lie in how each telco is leveraging data to transform its financial future. Let us start with MTN Nigeria
MTN Nigeria:
After reporting a staggering N440 billion loss after tax in 2024, largely due to foreign exchange shocks that eroded the bottom line, the telco staged a major turnaround in Q1 2025 with a N133.6 billion profit after tax.
While the stabilization of forex markets and growth in fintech revenue contributed, another catalyst was the explosive growth in data revenue.
In FY 2024, MTN reported N1.59 trillion in data revenue, up 49% year-on-year, making up 47% of total revenue, a major structural shift from the voice-led years.
That momentum continued into Q1 2025, with data revenue of N528.98 billion, accounting for 50% of total revenue for the quarter.
Subscriber metrics reinforce the trend:
- Active data users grew by 7% to 47.7 million.
- Data traffic rose by 42.9% year-on-year.
- Average data usage per subscriber jumped 33.6% to 11.2GB and even higher at 13.2GB in Q4.
According to the company:
“The performance in data revenue was supported by an increase in the number of active data users, increased usage, and enhancements to the quality and coverage of our network.
We continued to drive smartphone penetration and 4G adoption while implementing pricing actions to support revenue growth.”
These pricing actions, in addition to improved user experience, were made possible by MTN’s continued investment in digital infrastructure.
With increased 4G and now early 5G rollout in select zones, data speeds have improved, allowing the company to deepen monetization per megabyte.
So how does this translate to the bottom line?
MTN’s gross margin on data services is significantly higher than on voice, primarily because incremental costs per gigabyte decline as traffic scales. Simply put, once the infrastructure is in place, more usage equals better profitability.
Assuming the Q1 2025 trajectory holds, MTN could post over N2 trillion in data revenue for FY 2025 conservatively.
With EBITDA margin guidance at “at least mid-40%,” that means MTN could pull in N900 billion to N1 trillion in EBITDA from total revenue this year.
Compare that to N769.7 billion EBITDA in FY 2024, and you start to see just how powerful the data engine is.
If depreciation, amortization, and finance costs hold steady, and the naira remains relatively stable, MTN could be looking at full-year net profit north of N400 billion, essentially reversing 2024’s entire loss.
That would not only wipe out retained losses but position the telco to resume dividend payments by 2026 at the latest or even sooner, depending on board decisions.
As of Q1 2025, MTN’s trailing 12-month earnings per share (EPS) now stands at N5.96, pushing its price-to-earnings ratio to 53.56x.
The stock closed at N319.20 on June 5, 2025, reflecting a strong 59.6% year-to-date gain largely on the back of improving investor sentiment and the prospect of profitability recovery.
While challenges remain, FX volatility, infrastructure costs, and capex intensity, the return of profitability suggests that the darkest days may be behind the telco.
Smart investors should watch data on ARPU, user growth, and operating margins in the coming quarters. These are the levers that could flip MTN from survival mode back to a dividend-paying powerhouse.
Airtel Africa
Just like MTN, Airtel Nigeria is leaning on data to drive its business forward. While its headline numbers may look weak due to exchange rate issues, the real picture underneath tells a very different story.
In the year ending March 2025, Airtel Nigeria’s reported revenue dropped by 30% to $1.045 billion, with data income falling 26% to $483 million.
But that’s mostly because of the weaker naira. When you strip out the currency effects and look at its performance in constant terms, revenue rose 36%, and data grew by an impressive 45%.
The company explained it this way: “Our data business remains a key growth engine, supported by more smartphones, wider 4G coverage, and better network capacity.”
Data now makes up 44% of Airtel Nigeria’s total revenue, only slightly lower than 46% the previous year and not far behind MTN Nigeria’s 47% in 2024 and 50% in Q1 2025.
Airtel also saw growth in its customer base. It added about 1.7 million new data users, bringing the total to 29.1 million, while average income per user rose to $1.9 in the last quarter, a sign that more people are using more data and paying a little more for it.
Airtel Africa posted a $328 million profit after tax for FY 2025, a big turnaround from the $89 million loss it recorded the year before.
Can data sustain dividends?
In Nigeria alone, data generated $483 million in FY 2025, down due to exchange losses. But in constant currency, it was a 45% surge, pointing to strong underlying performance.
If this growth trend holds and ARPU rises moderately to $2 by Q4, Airtel Nigeria could generate over $550 million from data in the current financial year, even before factoring in FX gains or tariff increases.
Also, with data traffic climbing, data alone could account for 60–70% of its operating profit by next year. This position allows Airtel to comfortably cover its dividend, even if voice or mobile money slows down.
Indeed, Airtel Africa has already shown this confidence by declaring a $0.04 per share final dividend for FY 2025.
On the Nigerian Exchange, Airtel Africa’s share price stood at N2,372.50 as of June 5, 2025, showing a 10% year-to-date gain. It trades at a moderate price-to-earnings ratio of 26x, compared to MTN Nigeria’s 53.56x.
Nairametrics.com
Business
2025 Net Worth: Meet Nigerian Billionaire Who Has Made More Money Than Aliko Dangote
Abdulsamad Rabiu, the founder of BUA Group, has emerged as the fastest-growing African billionaire in 2025.
His wealth rise in 2025 is higher than Africa’s richest man, Aliko Dangote and other African billionaires.
According to the latest data from the Bloomberg index, Rabiu’s net worth has increased by $5.25 billion in 2025, bringing his total net worth to $8.4 billion as of Friday, November 14.
In comparison, Dangote who has a total net worth of $29.8 billion, has gained $1.75 billion from January to November 14, 2025.
The increase in Rabiu’s wealth is thanks to the performance of his key assets on the Nigerian Exchange: BUA Cement and BUA Foods, two of the largest companies in the country.
However, Dangote remains Africa’s wealthiest individual for total net worth
A Lagos-based financial analyst, Kelvin Umeni, said: “Rabiu’s companies have been performing strongly. If you check the half-year results of his two companies, you will realize he is doing very well. I am not surprised, and I expect him to hit a $10 billion net worth soon.”
Other African billionaires on the Bloomberg billionaire index have also recorded impressive gains this year but not at the same pace with Rabiu.
Johann Rupert, Africa’s second-richest man, has a total net worth of $18.4 billion as at Friday, an increase of $4.79 billion from the start of the year. His wealth is driven by stakes in Richemont.
Nicky Oppenheimer, another South African billionaire known for his holdings in De Beers, has gained $2.18 billion so far in 2025, bringing his wealth to $13.7 billion. While Egyptian billionaire Naguib Sawiris wealth totals $10.1 billion, which is a YTD increase of $3.23 billion.
His fellow countryman, Nassef Sawiris net worth currently stands at $9.42 billion, a $727 million growth in 2025.
South African entrepreneur Natie Kirsh fortune has increased by $530 million, taking his total net worth to $9.86 billion.
It is important to note that Dangote remains Africa’s richest man by a distance, but for wealth gain in 2025, Abdulsamad Rabiu is the rising star.
Business
CBN Gov Welcomes S&P’s Upgrade Of Nigeria’s Outlook To Positive
The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Governor, Olayemi Cardoso, has welcomed the decision of S&P Global Ratings to revise Nigeria’s outlook to “positive” from “stable,” describing it as a signal that reforms in the financial system are gaining traction.
S&P announced the upgrade on Friday citing improving policy coordination, strengthened monetary management and steps taken to restore confidence in the Nigerian economy.
The revision shows that Nigeria is now viewed as having a better chance of achieving stronger credit fundamentals over the medium term. This means S&P now sees Nigeria as more likely to strengthen its economic and financial stability in the coming years, based on recent policy improvements.
In practical terms, the agency believes the country has a stronger chance of earning a future credit rating upgrade if current reforms are sustained.
Speaking at a strategic session in Abuja, Cardoso said the development reflects the steady progress recorded in stabilizing key economic indicators since the beginning of the year.
According to him: “This is encouraging news for the country. It shows that our efforts to restore stability, strengthen governance frameworks and rebuild trust in the financial system are being recognized internationally.”
The Governor noted the CBN’s actions—ranging from tighter monetary policies to enhanced foreign exchange market operations—have contributed to clearer market signals and better investor confidence.
“The Central Bank has brought stability to the economy and become a beacon of hope,” he stated.
Cardoso added that the improved outlook should motivate both public and private sector stakeholders to sustain ongoing reforms that support growth, investment, and long-term macroeconomic resilience.
Business
Nigeria Targets ₦160bn From Wheat Production
The Federal Government on Saturday said it has earmarked 40,000 hectares of land for 2025/2026 dry season wheat production and registered 80,000 farmers, with an expected output value of approximately ₦160 billion.
The Minister of Agriculture and Food Security, Abubakar Kyari, disclosed this during the official flag-off of the 2025/2026 dry season wheat production programme under the National Agricultural Growth and Agro Pocket Project (NAGSAP) in Jere Local Government Area of Borno State.
Speaking at the ceremony, the minister said that out of the 40,000 hectares earmarked for wheat production this dry season, 3,000 hectares have been allocated to Borno State, representing 6,000 registered wheat farmers.
He said: “Under the 2023/2024 dry season wheat production programme, a total of 107,429 registered farmers were supported with critical subsidized inputs, resulting in an output valued at ₦474,628,000 billion. During the 2024/2025 dry season, 279,297 registered farmers received support, with an output valued at ₦893,750,004 billion.
“For the current 2025/2026 season, the programme is targeting 80,000 registered farmers with an expected output value of approximately ₦160 billion.”
Kyari emphasized that the NAGSAP programme will deploy Agricultural Extension Agents to guide farmers on modern agronomic practices and provide continuous field-level advisory services.
“In addition, Fertiliser and Seed Quality Control Officers will be mobilised to ensure that all inputs delivered to farmers meet the required standards, thereby guaranteeing higher productivity and improved yields,” Kyari added.
According to him, the wheat component of the NAGSAP programme covers sixteen states of the federation.
“These are Adamawa, Bauchi, Borno, Cross River, Gombe, Kaduna, Kano, Kebbi, Niger, Plateau, Sokoto, Taraba, Yobe, and Zamfara. The inclusion of Cross River last year expanded wheat production into the southern region for the first time and strengthened our national capacity to diversify production across ecological zones,” he said.
Kyari noted that the project is designed to include women and young people, enabling them to access training and agricultural opportunities.
“NAGSAP is deliberately designed to leave no one behind. The program ensures that farmers across communities—including women and young people, who play vital roles in our agricultural workforce—have equitable access to inputs, training, and opportunities.
“The success of any agricultural season depends on the quality of inputs that reach our farmers. Without certified seeds, accurate fertilizer blends, and timely access to crop protection products, no level of effort in the field can deliver the yields we require as a nation. This is why NAGSAP places strong emphasis on input quality, traceability, and transparent delivery systems, ensuring that every farmer receives the right inputs at the right time to achieve higher productivity and better returns,” he said.
Also speaking, the Governor of Borno State, Babagana Zulum, applauded the Federal Government for its continuous support towards irrigation development.
“Mr President’s commitment to food security and national productivity provides the foundation upon which programs like this are built,” he stated.
According to him, Borno State, with its vast arable and irrigable land—especially within the Lake Chad Basin—remains one of Nigeria’s most promising agricultural frontiers.
He said: “Today is more than a ceremony; it is a celebration of hope, resilience, and our unwavering commitment to ensuring that no family in Borno State goes hungry and no farmer is left behind. Despite the challenges of displacement, insecurity, and climate shocks, Borno State remains steadfast in growing its own food and empowering its people.”
The governor reaffirmed his administration’s commitment to sustaining all-season farming through the provision of essential infrastructure, logistics, modern machinery, improved seeds, fertilizers, agrochemicals, and other inputs required to boost productivity and support farmers across the state.
“Here in Borno State, wheat cultivation is not just a program; it is a transformative initiative. Through targeted investments in irrigation, mechanization, quality inputs, and extension services, we are equipping farmers to achieve higher yields, enhance productivity, and contribute meaningfully to national output.”
He further stated: “Borno State has achieved remarkable milestones under our people-centered agricultural vision. Our input support programmed have reached tens of thousands of smallholder farmers, resettled households, women, and youth, providing improved seeds, agrochemicals, and agronomic guidance.”
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